Prediction Market Oracles: How Questions Become Resolved Outcomes
Define clear questions, evidence policies and dispute states before connecting a resolution result to application settlement.
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Understand future estimates, answer interfaces and final outcomes as separate data types. A forecast expresses uncertainty; a resolution applies an evidence policy to a defined question.
This collection connects API design with question definition, probability evaluation and dispute-aware status handling. It includes conceptual examples rather than live predictions, betting recommendations or claims of guaranteed accuracy.
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Define clear questions, evidence policies and dispute states before connecting a resolution result to application settlement.
Design typed responses that distinguish an observed fact, a future estimate and a final outcome without pretending certainty.